Sultan Ibrahim Stadium · Analysis updated 01:09 UTC
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs DPMM FC Brunei Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.68 expected goals for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 1.28 for DPMM FC Brunei, a combined total of 4.95. That distribution gives Johor Darul Takzim FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Johor Darul Takzim FC win
80.4% probability
Expected goals
3.68 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
DPMM FC Brunei away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Johor Darul Takzim FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 11% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.68 goals for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 1.28 for DPMM FC Brunei, a combined 4.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 69%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.5%
- 4–16.9%
- 2–16.1%
- 3–05.9%
- 4–05.4%
Recent form
Johor Darul Takzim FC
DPMM FC Brunei
- 2026-10-23T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Johor Darul Takzim FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Terengganu · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Johor Darul Takzim FC win, at 80.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.