· Analysis updated 22:31 UTC
JS El Biar vs MC Alger Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for JS El Biar and 1.37 for MC Alger, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives MC Alger the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.0% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
JS El Biar home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
MC Alger away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates MC Alger to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 33% / 27% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for JS El Biar and 1.37 for MC Alger, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–07.6%
Recent form
JS El Biar
- 2026-09-10T20:00:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-03T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympique Akbou · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs RC Arba · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hussein Dey · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs WA Tlemcen · 1-0 (W)
MC Alger
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs MB Rouisset · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T19:00:00.000Z · H vs NIGELEC · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · A vs NIGELEC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Shabab · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Oran | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | CR Belouizdad | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | JS Kabylie | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | MB Rouisset | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | USM Alger | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Olympique Akbou | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | JS El Biar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Témouchent | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | MC Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Ben Aknoun | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | CS Constantine | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | ES Setif | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Khenchela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | ASO Chlef | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | JS Saoura | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | US Biskra | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.