Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2616:45
JS KabylieWWDWL

2 – 2

Friday, 10 April 2026

Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium · Analysis updated 19:46 UTC

JS Kabylie vs CS Constantine Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for JS Kabylie and 0.88 for CS Constantine, a combined total of 1.88. That distribution gives JS Kabylie the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 29% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • JS Kabylie home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • CS Constantine away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

JS Kabylie win37%
Draw32%
CS Constantine win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams to score37%

Correct score

  • 0–015.3%
  • 1–015.3%
  • 0–113.4%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

JS Kabylie

  • 2026-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z · H vs MB Rouisset · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Belouizdad · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-08T16:45:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 5-1 (W)

CS Constantine

  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs ES Setif · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ASO Chlef · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Saoura · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-19T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Khenchela · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-04-10T16:45:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 2-2 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2025-11-09T16:45:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 0-1 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2025-03-08T21:00:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 1-1 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2024-10-12T16:45:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 2-3 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2024-05-11T16:00:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 0-0 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2023-12-15T15:45:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 0-2 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2023-03-07T14:00:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 0-0 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-09-01T19:00:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 0-1 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-06-05T18:00:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 1-3 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-01-30T13:30:00.000Z · JS Kabylie 1-2 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Oran6420514
2CR Belouizdad6420414
3JS Kabylie6411713
4MB Rouisset7412313
5USM Alger6321311
6Olympique Akbou6312310
7JS El Biar722318
8Témouchent7223-38
9MC Alger321037
10Ben Aknoun614107
11CS Constantine7214-47
12ES Setif612315
13Khenchela6123-35
14ASO Chlef7043-54
15JS Saoura6033-63
16US Biskra6024-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 29%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.