Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium · Analysis updated 16:19 UTC
JS Kabylie vs MC Oran Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for JS Kabylie and 0.75 for MC Oran, a combined total of 1.45. That distribution gives MC Oran the largest share of the 1X2 market at 33%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 18% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 33% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.4% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
JS Kabylie home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
MC Oran away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 30% / 38% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for JS Kabylie and 0.75 for MC Oran, a combined 1.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
63%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–023.5%
- 0–117.5%
- 1–016.5%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–26.6%
Recent form
JS Kabylie
- 2026-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z · H vs MB Rouisset · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Belouizdad · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-08T16:45:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 5-1 (W)
MC Oran
- 2026-09-18T20:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Témouchent · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Muaither SC · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-06-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs USM Alger · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-20T19:00:00.000Z · A vs CR Belouizdad · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Oran | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | CR Belouizdad | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | MB Rouisset | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | JS Kabylie | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | MC Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | JS El Biar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Olympique Akbou | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | CS Constantine | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Ben Aknoun | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Khenchela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Témouchent | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | ASO Chlef | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | JS Saoura | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | US Biskra | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 27% and over 2.5 goals at 18%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.