Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1919:00
JS SaouraDLLDD

0 – 0

Tuesday, 12 May 2026

20 August 1955 Stadium · Analysis updated 15:00 UTC

JS Saoura vs CR Belouizdad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.58 expected goals for JS Saoura and 1.31 for CR Belouizdad, a combined total of 1.89. That distribution gives CR Belouizdad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 29% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

CR Belouizdad win

54.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.58 – 1.31

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • JS Saoura home form

    8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • CR Belouizdad away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CR Belouizdad to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 16% / 29% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.58 goals for JS Saoura and 1.31 for CR Belouizdad, a combined 1.89 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

JS Saoura win16%
Draw29%
CR Belouizdad win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams to score32%

Correct score

  • 0–119.8%
  • 0–015.1%
  • 0–213.0%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–08.7%

Recent form

JS Saoura

  • 2026-10-18T16:45:00.000Z · A vs MB Rouisset · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T19:15:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympique Akbou · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs US Biskra · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs JS El Biar · 0-4 (L)

CR Belouizdad

  • 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs US Biskra · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T20:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Kabylie · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-02T19:00:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Oran6420514
2CR Belouizdad6420414
3JS Kabylie6411713
4MB Rouisset7412313
5USM Alger6321311
6Olympique Akbou6312310
7JS El Biar722318
8Témouchent7223-38
9MC Alger321037
10Ben Aknoun614107
11CS Constantine7214-47
12ES Setif612315
13Khenchela6123-35
14ASO Chlef7043-54
15JS Saoura6033-63
16US Biskra6024-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is CR Belouizdad win, at 54.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 29%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.