Nordlandshallen · Analysis updated 14:29 UTC
Junkeren vs Skeid Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Junkeren and 1.15 for Skeid, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Junkeren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Junkeren win
61.7% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Junkeren home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Skeid away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Junkeren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Junkeren and 1.15 for Skeid, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–08.5%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–17.2%
Recent form
Junkeren
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grorud · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Trygg/Lade · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rana · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ull/Kisa · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Skeid · 1-0 (W)
Skeid
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hønefoss · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lørenskog · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromsdalen Uil · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Valerenga · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Junkeren · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 0-1 Skeid (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-09-22T13:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 1-3 Skeid (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-05-12T11:30:00.000Z · Junkeren 0-2 Skeid (2. Division - Group 2)
2. Division - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Levanger | 24 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 49 |
| 5 | Grorud | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Stjørdals-Blink | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | Tromsdalen Uil | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Lørenskog | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Follo | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -21 | 17 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 24 | 4 | 1 | 19 | -48 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -30 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Junkeren win, at 61.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.