Nordlandshallen · Analysis updated 09:54 UTC
Junkeren vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Junkeren and 1.83 for Stjørdals-Blink, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Stjørdals-Blink the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.1% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Junkeren home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stjørdals-Blink away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.2%
Recent form
Junkeren
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grorud · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Trygg/Lade · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rana · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ull/Kisa · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Skeid · 1-0 (W)
Stjørdals-Blink
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trygg/Lade · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromsdalen Uil · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ull/Kisa · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lørenskog · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 2-2 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2026-06-28T13:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 1-1 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 0-4 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-04-28T18:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 0-3 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2023-11-11T12:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 0-2 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2023-07-23T13:00:00.000Z · Junkeren 4-1 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
2. Division - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 60 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Levanger | 24 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Grorud | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Lørenskog | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Stjørdals-Blink | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Tromsdalen Uil | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Follo | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -19 | 20 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 25 | 4 | 1 | 20 | -52 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -30 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.