Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena · Analysis updated 06:59 UTC
Juventud Antoniana vs Huracan Las Heras Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Juventud Antoniana and 0.55 for Huracan Las Heras, a combined total of 1.68. That distribution gives Juventud Antoniana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Juventud Antoniana win
50.0% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 0.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Juventud Antoniana home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huracan Las Heras away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juventud Antoniana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 32% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Juventud Antoniana and 0.55 for Huracan Las Heras, a combined 1.68 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
68%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–021.2%
- 0–018.7%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.2%
Recent form
Juventud Antoniana
- 2026-10-24T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Sol de América · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Huracan Las Heras · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Huracan Las Heras · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Cipolletti · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Atenas · 1-3 (L)
Huracan Las Heras
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atenas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Argentino Monte Maíz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Villa Mitre · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Juventud Antoniana · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Juventud Antoniana win, at 50.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.