Estadio Mario Sebastian Diez · Analysis updated 16:41 UTC
Juventud Unida Univ. vs Cipolletti Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.73 expected goals for Juventud Unida Univ. and 0.80 for Cipolletti, a combined total of 1.53. That distribution gives Cipolletti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 34%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 34% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.9% probability
Expected goals
0.73 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Juventud Unida Univ. home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Cipolletti away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
64%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–021.8%
- 0–117.4%
- 1–015.8%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–27.0%
Recent form
Juventud Unida Univ.
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs San Martín Mendoza · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Sol de Mayo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Santamarina · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Costa Brava · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Rincon · 0-1 (L)
Cipolletti
- 2026-09-27T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Sol de América · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventud Antoniana · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Alvarado · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Atenas · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-11T18:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 0-1 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2026-05-10T18:30:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 1-0 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2024-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 0-0 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2022-10-12T19:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 2-2 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2022-09-07T14:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 3-1 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 1-1 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-07-07T17:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 1-0 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2019-11-03T22:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 1-1 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
- 2015-08-15T19:00:00.000Z · Juventud Unida Univ. 3-0 Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A)
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.