· Analysis updated 13:48 UTC
Juventus Malchika vs Partizan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.84 expected goals for Juventus Malchika and 2.09 for Partizan, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Partizan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Partizan win
66.4% probability
Expected goals
0.84 – 2.09
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Juventus Malchika home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Partizan away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–38.1%
Recent form
Juventus Malchika
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Litex · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademik Svishtov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bdin · 2-8 (L)
Partizan
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pleven II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Mezdra · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Yantra Polski Trambesh · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Etar VT II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus Malchika · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 0-3 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 1-3 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2025-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 1-0 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2025-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 0-1 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2024-09-28T14:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 3-4 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2024-05-18T15:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 5-0 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2023-11-03T12:30:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 2-0 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2023-02-25T12:30:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 2-6 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2022-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 1-2 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
- 2022-04-02T14:00:00.000Z · Juventus Malchika 0-1 Partizan (Third League - Northwest)
Third League - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Svishtov | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Yantra Polski Trambesh | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Kom Berkovitsa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Partizan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Etar VT II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Sevlievo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Bdin | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | OFK Levski | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Chavdar Troyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Pavlikeni | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Spartak Pleven II | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 13 | Juventus Malchika | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -16 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Partizan win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.