Bulgaria · Third League - Northwest · Northwest - 414:00

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Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 04:13 UTC

Juventus Malchika vs Yantra Polski Trambesh Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Juventus Malchika and 3.42 for Yantra Polski Trambesh, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Yantra Polski Trambesh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Yantra Polski Trambesh win

80.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.13 – 3.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Yantra Polski Trambesh away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Yantra Polski Trambesh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 9% / 11% / 80% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.13 goals for Juventus Malchika and 3.42 for Yantra Polski Trambesh, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Juventus Malchika win9%
Draw11%
Yantra Polski Trambesh win80%

Double chance 1X

20%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

91%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–38.0%
  • 0–37.0%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 1–46.8%
  • 0–26.2%

Recent form

Juventus Malchika

  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Mezdra · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Yantra Polski Trambesh · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Etar VT II · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Litex · 3-0 (W)

Yantra Polski Trambesh

  • 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pavlikeni · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pleven II · 5-5 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Mezdra · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Etar VT II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizan · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Third League - Northwest table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Akademik Svishtov96301321
2Lokomotiv Mezdra8440916
3Yantra Polski Trambesh9342713
4Kom Berkovitsa8341313
5Partizan9333012
6Chavdar Troyan7322-111
7Etar VT II8314610
8Sevlievo7241210
9Pavlikeni9306-49
10Bdin8305-59
11OFK Levski7223-18
12Spartak Pleven II9135-136
13Juventus Malchika4004-160

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Yantra Polski Trambesh win, at 80.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.