· Analysis updated 16:11 UTC
Juventus U20 vs Retrô U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Juventus U20 and 2.00 for Retrô U20, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Retrô U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.6% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Juventus U20 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Retrô U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Retrô U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 34% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Juventus U20 and 2.00 for Retrô U20, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.5%
Recent form
Juventus U20
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Jabaquara U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Itapirense U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Corinthians U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ponte Preta U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Portuguesa U20 · 1-3 (L)
Retrô U20
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Torres U20 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Central SC U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1º de Maio U20 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico PE U20 · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
São Paulo Youth Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.