· Analysis updated 06:46 UTC
Juventus U20 vs São Bento U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Juventus U20 and 0.73 for São Bento U20, a combined total of 2.32. That distribution gives Juventus U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Juventus U20 win
58.0% probability
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Juventus U20 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
São Bento U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juventus U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 25% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for Juventus U20 and 0.73 for São Bento U20, a combined 2.32 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.6%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–19.1%
Recent form
Juventus U20
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Jabaquara U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Itapirense U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Corinthians U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ponte Preta U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Portuguesa U20 · 1-3 (L)
São Bento U20
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ferroviária U20 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Corinthians U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Portuguesa Santista U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Portuguesa U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Santos U20 · 2-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Juventus U20 win, at 58.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.