JVW FC W vs Ezemvelo W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for JVW FC W and 0.50 for Ezemvelo W, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives JVW FC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

JVW FC W win

86.7% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.00 – 0.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

JVW FC W home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JVW FC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 87% / 10% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for JVW FC W and 0.50 for Ezemvelo W, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 37%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Match result (1X2)

JVW FC W win87%

Draw10%

Ezemvelo W win4%

Double chance 1X

96%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

13%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score37%

Correct score

2–013.6%
3–013.6%
4–010.2%
1–09.1%
2–16.8%

Recent form

JVW FC W

2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ramatlaohle W · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tshwane University W · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs University of Johannesburg W · 0-0 (D)

Ezemvelo W

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns W	5	5	0	0	21	15
2	JVW FC W	6	4	2	0	13	14
3	TS Galaxy W	6	4	1	1	7	13
4	University of Johannesburg W	6	3	2	1	5	11
5	Tshwane University W	6	3	2	1	4	11
6	Pretoria U. W	6	3	1	2	1	10
7	Ramatlaohle W	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	UWC W	6	3	1	2	-3	10
9	Copperbelt Ladies W	5	3	0	2	0	9
10	University of Fort Hare W	6	1	4	1	0	7
11	Richmond United W	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Ezemvelo W	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	First Touch W	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Diepkloof W	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Stellenbosch W	6	0	0	6	-11	0
16	City Lads W	6	0	0	6	-14	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is JVW FC W win, at 86.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 87% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.