South-Africa · Super League Women · Group stage09:00
JVW FC WDDWWW

0 – 0

Sunday, 18 October 2026

· Analysis updated 23:51 UTC

JVW FC W vs First Touch W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.49 expected goals for JVW FC W and 0.71 for First Touch W, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives JVW FC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

JVW FC W win

76.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.49 – 0.71

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • JVW FC W home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • First Touch W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JVW FC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 15% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.49 goals for JVW FC W and 0.71 for First Touch W, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

JVW FC W win76%
Draw15%
First Touch W win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

24%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 2–012.6%
  • 3–010.5%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–17.5%

Recent form

JVW FC W

  • 2026-10-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ramatlaohle W · 1-1 (D)

First Touch W

  • 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Tshwane University W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ezemvelo W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Ramatlaohle W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs University of Johannesburg W · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is JVW FC W win, at 76.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.