· Analysis updated 11:08 UTC
Køge W vs KoldingQ W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for Køge W and 1.78 for KoldingQ W, a combined total of 4.73. That distribution gives Køge W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Køge W win
61.8% probability
Expected goals
2.95 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Køge W home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KoldingQ W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.9%
- 3–16.7%
- 2–26.1%
- 3–26.0%
- 4–15.0%
Recent form
Køge W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordsjælland W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Servette Chênois W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 4-1 (W)
KoldingQ W
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AGF W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:30:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-13T12:00:00.000Z · Køge W 3-1 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2026-04-24T16:00:00.000Z · Køge W 2-0 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2025-11-01T14:00:00.000Z · Køge W 6-1 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2025-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · Køge W 2-1 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · Køge W 5-0 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · Køge W 2-1 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-05-25T11:00:00.000Z · Køge W 4-0 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2024-03-29T14:00:00.000Z · Køge W 1-1 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2023-11-19T14:00:00.000Z · Køge W 2-0 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
- 2023-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · Køge W 5-0 KoldingQ W (Kvindeliga)
Kvindeliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Køge W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | Nordsjælland W | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Brøndby W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Midtjylland W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 7 | KoldingQ W | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 | Odense Q W | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen W | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -22 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Køge W win, at 61.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.