Baspinar Stadyumu · Analysis updated 17:19 UTC
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu vs Kırşehir Belediyespor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu and 2.18 for Kırşehir Belediyespor, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Kırşehir Belediyespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kırşehir Belediyespor win
59.5% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 2.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kırşehir Belediyespor away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kırşehir Belediyespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 20% / 20% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu and 2.18 for Kırşehir Belediyespor, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–28.1%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–37.0%
Recent form
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Talasgücü Belediyespor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kırşehir Belediyespor · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor · 1-3 (L)
Kırşehir Belediyespor
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karaman FK · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Silifke Belediyespor · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Yeni Malatyaspor · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kırşehir Belediyespor win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.