Angola · Girabola · Matchweek 514:00
KabuscorpLDLWL

1 – 0

Sunday, 20 September 2026

InterclubeLWDLW

· Analysis updated 19:03 UTC

Kabuscorp vs Interclube Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.84 expected goals for Kabuscorp and 0.91 for Interclube, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Interclube the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.84 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kabuscorp home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Interclube away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Interclube to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 31% / 34% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.84 goals for Kabuscorp and 0.91 for Interclube, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Kabuscorp win31%
Draw34%
Interclube win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score34%

Correct score

  • 0–017.4%
  • 0–115.8%
  • 1–014.6%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–27.2%

Recent form

Kabuscorp

  • 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Maniema Union · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maniema Union · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Petro de Luanda · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiliete · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-07T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sagrada Esperança · 0-1 (L)

Interclube

  • 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs CD Lunda-Sul · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo do Libolo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sagrada Esperança · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kabuscorp · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-10T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Académica do Lobito · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Girabola table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.