Kahraba Ismailia vs Haras El Hodood Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Kahraba Ismailia and 0.98 for Haras El Hodood, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives Kahraba Ismailia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.06 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kahraba Ismailia home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Haras El Hodood away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kahraba Ismailia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 31% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for Kahraba Ismailia and 0.98 for Haras El Hodood, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Kahraba Ismailia win37%

Draw31%

Haras El Hodood win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%

Over 2.5 goals33%

Over 3.5 goals15%

Both teams to score41%

Correct score

1–013.8%
1–113.5%
0–013.1%
0–112.8%
2–07.3%

Recent form

Kahraba Ismailia

2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Mega Sport · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Pharco · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs El Dakhleya · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs El Mansura · 0-2 (L)

Haras El Hodood

2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Proxy · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs La Viena FC · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs El Seka El Hadid · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanta SC · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Dayrout · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-05-18T14:00:00.000Z · Kahraba Ismailia 0-2 Haras El Hodood (Premier League)
2026-01-22T15:00:00.000Z · Kahraba Ismailia 2-1 Haras El Hodood (Premier League)
2026-01-04T15:00:00.000Z · Kahraba Ismailia 3-3 Haras El Hodood (League Cup)

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Masar	10	7	1	2	11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	5	5	0	8	20
3	Itesalat	10	6	1	3	7	19
4	Pharco	10	6	1	3	4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	5	3	2	8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	5	3	2	5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	4	5	1	6	17
8	Tersana	10	4	5	1	5	17
9	El Mansura	10	5	2	3	2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	4	3	3	2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	3	3	4	0	12
12	Team	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	2	4	4	1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	2	4	4	-4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	2	4	4	-6	10
17	Proxy	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	1	4	5	-6	7
19	Dayrout	10	1	3	6	-16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	0	3	7	-11	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.