· Analysis updated 04:43 UTC
Kansanshi Dynamos vs Konkola Blades Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Kansanshi Dynamos and 1.14 for Konkola Blades, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Konkola Blades the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.9% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kansanshi Dynamos home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Konkola Blades away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Konkola Blades to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 32% / 29% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for Kansanshi Dynamos and 1.14 for Konkola Blades, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 0–113.2%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–011.5%
- 1–27.7%
Recent form
Kansanshi Dynamos
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zanaco · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Konkola Blades · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Makeni All Stars · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nkana · 0-0 (D)
Konkola Blades
- 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nchanga Rangers · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs NAPSA Stars · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-14T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mines · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Power Dynamos · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Red Arrows · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nkana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Power Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Konkola Blades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | NAPSA Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Trident | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Makeni All Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chirundu Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.