Markku.fi Areena · Analysis updated 02:55 UTC
KäPa vs JIPPO Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for KäPa and 1.49 for JIPPO, a combined total of 2.41. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
JIPPO to Win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.4%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–210.0%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.0%
Why the model likes this
KäPa home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
JIPPO away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 23% / 26% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for KäPa and 1.49 for JIPPO, a combined 2.41 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
JIPPO
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.