KäPa vs JIPPO Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for KäPa and 1.50 for JIPPO, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

JIPPO win

48.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

KäPa home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
JIPPO away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

KäPa win26%

Draw26%

JIPPO win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.3%
0–112.0%
1–29.2%
0–29.0%
1–08.2%

Recent form

KäPa

2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Haka · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SJK Akatemia · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Klubi-04 · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-0 (D)

JIPPO

2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-20T15:00:00.000Z · KäPa 1-3 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · KäPa 0-3 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · KäPa 0-2 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2026-03-07T13:00:00.000Z · KäPa 1-1 JIPPO (Ykköscup)
2025-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · KäPa 1-2 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2025-06-29T13:00:00.000Z · KäPa 1-3 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2025-05-04T16:15:00.000Z · KäPa 1-1 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2025-02-15T12:00:00.000Z · KäPa 1-2 JIPPO (Ykköscup)
2024-08-25T13:00:00.000Z · KäPa 2-1 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)
2024-07-17T15:30:00.000Z · KäPa 1-4 JIPPO (Ykkösliiga)

Ykkösliiga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kooteepee	26	18	4	4	22	58
2	PK-35	26	14	7	5	20	49
3	Haka	26	14	5	7	21	47
4	JIPPO	26	12	8	6	15	44
5	JäPS	26	11	2	13	-17	35
6	MP	26	8	6	12	-8	30
7	EIF	26	8	5	13	-15	29
8	Klubi-04	26	6	8	12	0	26
9	KäPa	26	6	7	13	-15	25
10	SJK Akatemia	26	3	8	15	-23	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is JIPPO win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.