· Analysis updated 14:14 UTC
Karaman FK vs Adana Adaletgucu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Karaman FK and 2.06 for Adana Adaletgucu, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Adana Adaletgucu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Adana Adaletgucu win
54.1% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Karaman FK home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Adana Adaletgucu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 25% / 21% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Karaman FK and 2.06 for Adana Adaletgucu, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.5%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–27.1%
- 0–16.9%
- 1–36.5%
Recent form
Karaman FK
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ağrı 1970 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Silifke Belediyespor · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kepezspor · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Yeni Malatyaspor · 3-0 (W)
Adana Adaletgucu
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 22 |
| 2 | Karaköprü Belediyespor | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Talasgücü Belediyespor | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Kırşehir Belediyespor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Niğde Belediyesispor | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 7 | Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Adana Adaletgucu | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Osmaniyespor | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Ağrı 1970 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Silifke Belediyespor | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karaman FK | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -17 | 5 |
| 16 | Diyarbekirspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -24 | 0 |
| 18 | Adanaspor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -27 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Adana Adaletgucu win, at 54.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.