· Analysis updated 00:03 UTC
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Miedź Legnica II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and 1.88 for Miedź Legnica II, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Miedź Legnica II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Miedź Legnica II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.3%
Recent form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Katowice · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ślęza Wrocław · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Goczałkowice Zdrój · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stilon Gorzów · 4-2 (W)
Miedź Legnica II
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Nysa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Katowice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ślęza Wrocław · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Goczałkowice Zdrój · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-3 Miedź Legnica II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Miedź Legnica II (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2025-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-2 Miedź Legnica II (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2025-05-21T15:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Miedź Legnica II (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2024-10-26T15:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-0 Miedź Legnica II (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2024-02-10T11:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3-4 Miedź Legnica II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Miedź Legnica II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-04-23T15:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3-3 Miedź Legnica II (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2021-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-2 Miedź Legnica II (III Liga - Group 3)
III Liga - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | ROW Rybnik | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Górnik Polkowice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Barycz Sułów | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Kluczbork | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Stal Brzeg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Warta Gorzów | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.