Karlovy Vary vs Slavoj Vyšehrad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.10 expected goals for Karlovy Vary and 1.60 for Slavoj Vyšehrad, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Karlovy Vary the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Karlovy Vary win

67.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.10 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Karlovy Vary home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slavoj Vyšehrad away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Karlovy Vary to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 15% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.10 goals for Karlovy Vary and 1.60 for Slavoj Vyšehrad, a combined 4.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Karlovy Vary win68%

Draw15%

Slavoj Vyšehrad win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals84%

Over 3.5 goals69%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

3–17.2%
2–17.0%
3–25.8%
4–15.6%
2–25.6%

Recent form

Karlovy Vary

2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hvězda Cheb · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Slaný · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Meteor Praha · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Chomutov · 0-1 (L)

Slavoj Vyšehrad

2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brandýs nad Labem · 2-5 (L)
2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Hostouň · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Praha · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ostrov · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlovy Vary · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chomutov	12	9	1	2	15	28
2	Sokol Hostouň	12	8	1	3	18	25
3	Újezd Praha 4	12	7	3	2	6	24
4	Rapid Psáry	12	7	2	3	14	23
5	Slaný	12	5	3	4	12	18
6	Baník Sokolov	12	6	0	6	5	18
7	Brandýs nad Labem	12	6	0	6	1	18
8	Štětí	12	5	3	4	1	18
9	Karlovy Vary	12	5	2	5	3	17
10	Tempo Praha	12	5	2	5	3	17
11	Meteor Praha	12	5	1	6	-2	16
12	Slovan Velvary	12	4	2	6	-10	14
13	Hvězda Cheb	12	3	1	8	-14	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	12	3	1	8	-14	10
15	Ostrov	12	3	1	8	-17	10
16	Ústí nad Labem II	12	2	3	7	-21	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Karlovy Vary win, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.