Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 1011:00

2 – 0

Sunday, 26 April 2026

· Analysis updated 05:00 UTC

Karlsruher SC U19 vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Karlsruher SC U19 and 2.03 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Karlsruher SC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

61.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.10 – 2.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Karlsruher SC U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Karlsruher SC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 20% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.10 goals for Karlsruher SC U19 and 2.03 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Karlsruher SC U19 win41%
Draw20%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 3–25.1%

Recent form

Karlsruher SC U19

  • 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Augsburg U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-1 (D)

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.