· Analysis updated 07:58 UTC
Karpaty Lviv U19 vs Veres Rivne U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.89 expected goals for Karpaty Lviv U19 and 1.06 for Veres Rivne U19, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Karpaty Lviv U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Karpaty Lviv U19 win
56.8% probability
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Veres Rivne U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Karpaty Lviv U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 22% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.89 goals for Karpaty Lviv U19 and 1.06 for Veres Rivne U19, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.2%
Recent form
Karpaty Lviv U19
Veres Rivne U19
- 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Metalurh U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Livyi Bereh U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U19 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rukh Vynnyky U19 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 27 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | LNZ Cherkasy U19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Livyi Bereh U19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Karpaty Lviv U19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Oleksandria U19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Metalist 1925 U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne U19 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Zhytomyr U19 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Lviv U19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Obolon' Kyiv U19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | SK Metalurh U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -18 | 8 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka U19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Karpaty Lviv U19 win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.