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Sunday, 11 October 2026

· Analysis updated 22:09 UTC

Kartal Bulvarspor vs Orduspor 1967 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Kartal Bulvarspor and 1.28 for Orduspor 1967, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Kartal Bulvarspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kartal Bulvarspor win

57.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kartal Bulvarspor home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Orduspor 1967 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kartal Bulvarspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 20% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Kartal Bulvarspor and 1.28 for Orduspor 1967, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kartal Bulvarspor win58%
Draw20%
Orduspor 1967 win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 1–06.8%

Recent form

Kartal Bulvarspor

  • 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Etimesgut SK · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs 1926 Polatlı Belediye · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nilüfer Belediye · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Silivrispor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-03-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kestel Çilek · 2-1 (W)

Orduspor 1967

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Amasyaspor 1968 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kartal Bulvarspor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fatsa Belediyespor · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Lig - Group 1 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kartal Bulvarspor win, at 57.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.