· Analysis updated 03:05 UTC
Karviná U19 vs Zlín U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Karviná U19 and 2.40 for Zlín U19, a combined total of 4.95. That distribution gives Karviná U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.9% probability
Expected goals
2.55 – 2.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Zlín U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Karviná U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 19% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.55 goals for Karviná U19 and 2.40 for Zlín U19, a combined 4.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 84%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.6%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–15.5%
- 2–35.3%
- 1–25.2%
Recent form
Karviná U19
Zlín U19
- 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.