Hungary · NB II · Regular Season - 415:30

21

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Kecskeméti TE vs Fehérvár FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Kecskeméti TE and 1.35 for Fehérvár FC, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Kecskeméti TE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Kecskeméti TE or Draw

63.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kecskeméti TE win38%
Draw26%
Fehérvár FC win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Kecskeméti TE home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kecskeméti TE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for Kecskeméti TE and 1.35 for Fehérvár FC, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Kecskeméti TE

  • 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Fehérvár FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs BVSC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas · 1-5 (L)

Fehérvár FC

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Soroksar4310610
    2Gyirmot SE4310410
    3Kazincbarcikai422038
    4Kecskeméti TE421107
    5Fehérvár FC420226
    6Ajka312025
    7Tiszakecske FC312015
    8Szentlőrinc SE211014
    9Diosgyori VTK3111-34
    10Karcag SE303003
    11Csakvar3102-13
    12Mezokovesd-zsory3102-13
    13Nagykanizsai ULE4103-23
    14Szeged 20113012-21
    15BVSC3012-21
    16Kozarmisleny FC4004-80

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.