· Analysis updated 09:38 UTC
Kecskeméti TE vs Fehérvár FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Kecskeméti TE and 1.16 for Fehérvár FC, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Kecskeméti TE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kecskeméti TE win
55.0% probability
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.16
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kecskeméti TE home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Fehérvár FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kecskeméti TE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.92 goals for Kecskeméti TE and 1.16 for Fehérvár FC, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.3%
Recent form
Kecskeméti TE
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Szeged 2011 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tatabánya · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kazincbarcikai · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozarmisleny FC · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 4-1 (W)
Fehérvár FC
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ujpest · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Diosgyori VTK · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Tiszakecske FC | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Kazincbarcikai | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Gyirmot SE | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Ajka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Diosgyori VTK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Szentlőrinc SE | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Fehérvár FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | BVSC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Karcag SE | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Szeged 2011 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny FC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Csakvar | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kecskeméti TE win, at 55.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.