· Analysis updated 09:49 UTC
Kecskeméti TE vs Nagykanizsai ULE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Kecskeméti TE and 0.77 for Nagykanizsai ULE, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Kecskeméti TE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Kecskeméti TE win
62.9% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kecskeméti TE home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Nagykanizsai ULE away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kecskeméti TE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 22% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Kecskeméti TE and 0.77 for Nagykanizsai ULE, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.4%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–07.7%
Recent form
Kecskeméti TE
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Szeged 2011 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tatabánya · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kazincbarcikai · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozarmisleny FC · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 4-1 (W)
Nagykanizsai ULE
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fehérvár FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Monori Se · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs BVSC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Tiszakecske FC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Gyirmot SE | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Kazincbarcikai | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Ajka | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Fehérvár FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Karcag SE | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Szentlőrinc SE | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | BVSC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Szeged 2011 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Csakvar | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kecskeméti TE win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.