Sultan Mohammad IV Stadium · Referee N. Tamarin · Analysis updated 13:47 UTC
Kelantan Red Warrior FC vs Kuching FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Kelantan Red Warrior FC and 4.50 for Kuching FA, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives Kuching FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuching FA win
90.6% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kelantan Red Warrior FC home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kuching FA away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuching FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 4% / 6% / 91% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Kelantan Red Warrior FC and 4.50 for Kuching FA, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
9%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
97%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–47.0%
- 1–47.0%
- 0–56.3%
- 1–56.3%
- 0–36.2%
Recent form
Kelantan Red Warrior FC
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imigresen · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Penang · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuching FA · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 0-0 (D)
Kuching FA
- 2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:15:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kitchee · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Kelantan City · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tampines Rovers · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-08T12:15:00.000Z · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 1-5 Kuching FA (FA Cup)
- 2026-09-01T13:00:00.000Z · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 0-0 Kuching FA (FA Cup)
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 0-5 Kuching FA (Super League)
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 |
| 2 | Selangor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Kuching FA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Sabah FA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Melaka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kuala Lumpur FA | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 8 | Negeri Sembilan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Terengganu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Imigresen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Penang | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuching FA win, at 90.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.