Kelantan Red Warrior FC vs Kuching FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Kelantan Red Warrior FC and 2.22 for Kuching FA, a combined total of 3.61. That distribution gives Kuching FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kuching FA win

56.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 2.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kelantan Red Warrior FC home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kuching FA away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuching FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 24% / 20% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Kelantan Red Warrior FC and 2.22 for Kuching FA, a combined 3.61 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kelantan Red Warrior FC win24%

Draw20%

Kuching FA win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–29.3%
1–18.4%
1–36.8%
0–26.7%
2–26.4%

Recent form

Kelantan Red Warrior FC

2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imigresen · 2-5 (L)
2026-09-12T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Penang · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-08T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuching FA · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 0-0 (D)

Kuching FA

2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-18T12:15:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Kitchee · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Kelantan City · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tampines Rovers · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-08T12:15:00.000Z · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 1-5 Kuching FA (FA Cup)
2026-09-01T13:00:00.000Z · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 0-0 Kuching FA (FA Cup)
2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 0-5 Kuching FA (Super League)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kuching FA win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.