· Analysis updated 14:40 UTC
Kelantan Red Warrior FC vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Kelantan Red Warrior FC and 2.81 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 4.09. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sabah FA win
69.2% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kelantan Red Warrior FC home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sabah FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 15% / 16% / 69% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Kelantan Red Warrior FC and 2.81 for Sabah FA, a combined 4.09 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.5%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–26.6%
- 0–36.2%
- 1–16.0%
Recent form
Kelantan Red Warrior FC
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imigresen · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Penang · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuching FA · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 0-0 (D)
Sabah FA
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs DPMM FC Brunei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-02T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Selangor · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-28T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Penang · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 |
| 2 | Selangor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Kuching FA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Sabah FA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Melaka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kuala Lumpur FA | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 8 | Negeri Sembilan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Terengganu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Imigresen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Penang | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sabah FA win, at 69.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.