Sultan Mohammad IV Stadium · Referee Y. Kamal Ikhwan · Analysis updated 13:56 UTC
Kelantan United vs Kuala Lumpur FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Kelantan United and 1.80 for Kuala Lumpur FA, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Kuala Lumpur FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuala Lumpur FA win
65.0% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kelantan United home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuala Lumpur FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 13% / 22% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.65 goals for Kelantan United and 1.80 for Kuala Lumpur FA, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.5%
- 0–214.0%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–08.6%
Recent form
Kelantan United
- 2026-05-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Negeri Sembilan · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Johor Darul Takzim FC · 1-14 (L)
- 2026-04-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Selangor · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-04-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Melaka · 1-2 (L)
Kuala Lumpur FA
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 |
| 2 | Selangor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Kuching FA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Sabah FA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Melaka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kuala Lumpur FA | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 8 | Negeri Sembilan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Terengganu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Imigresen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Penang | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuala Lumpur FA win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.