· Analysis updated 10:32 UTC
Kežmarok vs Lokomotíva Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.46 expected goals for Kežmarok and 2.34 for Lokomotíva Košice, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Lokomotíva Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Lokomotíva Košice win
79.8% probability
Expected goals
0.46 – 2.34
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Lokomotíva Košice away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lokomotíva Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 6% / 15% / 80% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.46 goals for Kežmarok and 2.34 for Lokomotíva Košice, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
20%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–216.7%
- 0–114.3%
- 0–313.0%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–47.6%
Recent form
Kežmarok
Lokomotíva Košice
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs AS Trencin · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Partizán Bardejov · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotíva Košice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Spartak Medzev | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Raslavice | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Stará Ľubovňa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Partizán Bardejov | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Spišská Nová Ves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Lipany | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | Poprad | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Snina | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Slávia TU Košice | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 13 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 14 | Kežmarok | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lokomotíva Košice win, at 79.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.