Israel · Liga Alef · South - 716:00

0 – 1

Monday, 19 October 2026

· Analysis updated 18:27 UTC

Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Kfar Saba 1928 and 1.14 for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, a combined total of 1.99. That distribution gives Hapoel Ramat HaSharon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

72.8% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.85 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kfar Saba 1928 home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hapoel Ramat HaSharon to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 27% / 31% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.85 goals for Kfar Saba 1928 and 1.14 for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, a combined 1.99 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

Kfar Saba 1928 win27%
Draw31%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 0–115.5%
  • 0–013.6%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–28.9%

Recent form

Kfar Saba 1928

  • 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Arad · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Shimshon Tel Aviv · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-01T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Marmorek · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-24T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Holon Yermiyahu · 0-1 (L)

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga Alef table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 72.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

    A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.