KFUM II vs Lokomotiv Oslo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.97 expected goals for KFUM II and 2.10 for Lokomotiv Oslo, a combined total of 5.06. That distribution gives KFUM II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

KFUM II win

56.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.97 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

KFUM II home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lokomotiv Oslo away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KFUM II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 17% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.97 goals for KFUM II and 2.10 for Lokomotiv Oslo, a combined 5.06 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

KFUM II win56%

Draw17%

Lokomotiv Oslo win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals88%

Over 3.5 goals74%

Both teams to score83%

Correct score

2–26.1%
3–26.0%
2–15.8%
3–15.8%
4–24.5%

Recent form

KFUM II

2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Heming · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ullern · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-29T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Konnerud · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Ready · 2-5 (L)

Lokomotiv Oslo

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heming · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Ready · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Konnerud · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Carl Berner · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Gamle Oslo · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Asker	25	22	1	2	53	67
2	Heming	25	15	5	5	26	50
3	Gamle Oslo	25	14	3	8	27	45
4	IF Ready	25	12	6	7	15	42
5	Vålerenga II	24	13	1	10	-9	40
6	Bærum	25	12	3	10	20	39
7	Union Carl Berner	25	12	2	11	4	38
8	Frigg	25	9	6	10	-9	33
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	25	9	2	14	-24	29
10	KFUM II	24	8	4	12	-13	28
11	SF Grei	25	9	1	15	-25	28
12	Ullern	25	8	2	15	-13	26
13	Nordstrand	25	6	2	17	-24	20
14	Konnerud	25	5	2	18	-28	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is KFUM II win, at 56.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.