· Analysis updated 15:02 UTC
Khaitan vs Al Jazira Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.37 expected goals for Khaitan and 2.04 for Al Jazira, a combined total of 4.41. That distribution gives Khaitan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Khaitan win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
2.37 – 2.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Khaitan home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Jazira away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Khaitan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 19% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.37 goals for Khaitan and 2.04 for Al Jazira, a combined 4.41 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.1%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–26.0%
- 1–15.9%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Khaitan
- 2026-08-20T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Shamiya · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-17T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Sporty · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:25:00.000Z · H vs Burgan · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-10T17:25:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazira · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-07T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Yarmouk · 0-0 (D)
Al Jazira
- 2026-10-24T14:35:00.000Z · A vs Sporty · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Shamiya · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-08T14:50:00.000Z · A vs Burgan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-20T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Al Sulaibikhat · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-17T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Yarmouk · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 1 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Khaitan win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.