· Analysis updated 17:23 UTC
Khaitan vs Sporty Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Khaitan and 1.23 for Sporty, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Khaitan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Khaitan win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Khaitan home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sporty away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Khaitan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Khaitan and 1.23 for Sporty, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.9%
Recent form
Khaitan
- 2026-08-20T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Shamiya · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-17T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Sporty · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:25:00.000Z · H vs Burgan · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-10T17:25:00.000Z · H vs Al Jazira · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-07T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Yarmouk · 0-0 (D)
Sporty
- 2026-08-20T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Burgan · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-17T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Khaitan · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-14T17:25:00.000Z · A vs Shamiya · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-11T17:25:00.000Z · A vs Al Sulaibikhat · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-06T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Sahel · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-17T17:15:00.000Z · Khaitan 5-0 Sporty (Division 1)
- 2026-02-20T18:30:00.000Z · Khaitan 2-0 Sporty (Division 1)
- 2025-10-26T16:50:00.000Z · Khaitan 1-0 Sporty (Division 1)
Division 1 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Khaitan win, at 47.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.