Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium · Referee S. Nabil · Analysis updated 16:16 UTC
Khorfakkan vs Al-Wasl FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Khorfakkan and 1.79 for Al-Wasl FC, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Al-Wasl FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Khorfakkan home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al-Wasl FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al-Wasl FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.79 for Al-Wasl FC, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.2%
Recent form
Khorfakkan
- 2026-10-24T12:55:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Wahda FC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-08T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Wasl FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Jazira · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ittihad Kalba · 1-2 (L)
Al-Wasl FC
- 2026-10-16T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Baniyas SC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ahli Jeddah · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-08T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Khorfakkan · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ittihad Kalba · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Ain · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.