Algeria · Ligue 2 · Matchweek 2915:00
KhroubWLDDW

1 – 0

Saturday, 2 May 2026

CA BatnaDWDLL

· Analysis updated 09:51 UTC

Khroub vs CA Batna Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Khroub and 1.05 for CA Batna, a combined total of 1.98. That distribution gives CA Batna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Khroub home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CA Batna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 31% / 31% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.93 goals for Khroub and 1.05 for CA Batna, a combined 1.98 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Match result (1X2)

Khroub win31%
Draw31%
CA Batna win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 0–114.6%
  • 0–013.9%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.8%
  • 0–27.6%

Recent form

Khroub

  • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Teleghma · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs CA Batna · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs MO Bejaia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs JS Jijel · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HB Chelghoum Laïd · 3-0 (W)

CA Batna

  • 2026-10-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NC Magra · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs MSP Batna · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nrb Beni Oulbene · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Azazga · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Témouchent · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MSP Batna6420414
2Azazga6321411
3USM Annaba6312510
4MO Constantine6240210
5NC Magra6312-110
6JSM Skikda530229
7Khroub623119
8Nrb Beni Oulbene622208
9US Chaouia6222-28
10MO Bejaia521227
11Paradou AC521217
12CA Batna6132-16
13Teleghma6123-25
14IRB Nezla5113-34
15CR Béni Thour5104-63
16JS Jijel5014-61
1Blida6510916
2RC Kouba64201014
3GC Mascara6420714
4MC Saida5410413
5ASM Oran6312610
6Usm El Harrach6312210
7Mostaganem6312210
8Sidi Benali6312010
9WA Mostaganem6132-16
10Hussein Dey6204-26
11Tiaret611414
12WA Tlemcen5113-54
13RC Arba3102-43
14Koléa5104-63
15El Bayadh6024-62
16Taghit6015-171

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.