Faroe-Islands · Meistaradeildin · Matchweek 1817:30
KI KlaksvikLWDWW

0 – 2

Monday, 10 August 2026

HB TorshavnWLWDW

· Referee L. Zachariassen · Analysis updated 19:15 UTC

KI Klaksvik vs HB Torshavn Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for KI Klaksvik and 1.08 for HB Torshavn, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives KI Klaksvik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

KI Klaksvik win

54.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • KI Klaksvik home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • HB Torshavn away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates KI Klaksvik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 23% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.82 goals for KI Klaksvik and 1.08 for HB Torshavn, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

KI Klaksvik win55%
Draw23%
HB Torshavn win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 3–16.0%

Recent form

KI Klaksvik

  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · A vs HB Torshavn · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · A vs 07 Vestur · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 0-2 (L)

HB Torshavn

  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AB · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Gota · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B68 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Meistaradeildin table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NSI Runavik2516632354
2KI Klaksvik2513932648
3HB Torshavn2513571444
4Vikingur Gota25101141041
5B36 Torshavn251096639
6EB / Streymur257513-1226
7Skála255911-1324
8AB257315-1424
907 Vestur256415-1822
10B68255515-2220

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is KI Klaksvik win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.