Kickers Emden vs Schöningen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Kickers Emden and 2.10 for Schöningen, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Schöningen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Schöningen win

46.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kickers Emden home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schöningen away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Kickers Emden win32%

Draw21%

Schöningen win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–28.3%
1–17.9%
2–27.2%
2–16.8%
1–35.8%

Recent form

Kickers Emden

2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Todesfelde · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli II · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Schöningen · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-8 (L)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SSV Jeddeloh · 4-1 (W)

Schöningen

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs HSC Hannover · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Emden · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiche Flensburg · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen II · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · Kickers Emden 5-0 Schöningen (Regionalliga - Nord)
2026-03-25T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Emden 2-1 Schöningen (Regionalliga - Nord)
2025-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Emden 1-2 Schöningen (Regionalliga - Nord)
2024-02-24T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Emden 5-0 Schöningen (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
2023-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · Kickers Emden 1-3 Schöningen (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)

Regionalliga - Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	11	1	2	29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	14	9	3	2	14	30
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	14	9	1	4	22	28
4	VfB Oldenburg	13	9	1	3	21	28
5	Phönix Lübeck	13	8	3	2	24	27
6	Schöningen	14	7	3	4	-2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	5	4	4	-1	19
8	Kickers Emden	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	4	6	4	-3	18
10	HSC Hannover	14	4	5	5	-8	17
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	4	2	7	-14	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	3	4	5	-7	13
13	Hamburger SV II	13	4	1	8	-9	13
14	SSV Jeddeloh	14	4	1	9	-14	13
15	Werder Bremen II	13	3	3	7	-5	12
16	Todesfelde	14	3	3	8	-21	12
17	St. Pauli II	13	3	1	9	-5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	2	2	9	-17	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Schöningen win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.