Bieberer Berg Stadion · Analysis updated 02:19 UTC
Kickers Offenbach vs FC Astoria Walldorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.06 expected goals for Kickers Offenbach and 1.27 for FC Astoria Walldorf, a combined total of 3.32. That distribution gives Kickers Offenbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kickers Offenbach win
55.6% probability
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.27
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kickers Offenbach home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Astoria Walldorf away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Kickers Offenbach
- 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Sandhausen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 08 Homburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter Kickers · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfR Aalen · 1-3 (L)
FC Astoria Walldorf
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hessen Kassel · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Aalen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Trier · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Sandhausen · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 2-1 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 1-1 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2025-11-01T13:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 3-4 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2025-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 3-2 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2024-11-03T13:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 2-0 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2024-04-02T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 5-0 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2023-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 0-1 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2023-04-14T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 1-1 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2022-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 3-0 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2022-03-06T13:00:00.000Z · Kickers Offenbach 2-1 FC Astoria Walldorf (Regionalliga - SudWest)
Regionalliga - SudWest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Eintracht Trier | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Kickers Offenbach | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | SV Sandhausen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | TSV Steinbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Frankfurt | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Kaiserslautern II | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kickers Offenbach win, at 55.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.