Romania · Liga III - Serie 2 · Group 2 - 912:00

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Friday, 16 October 2026

· Analysis updated 08:59 UTC

Kids Tâmpa Braşov vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Kids Tâmpa Braşov and 1.94 for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives ARO Muscelul Câmpulung the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win

56.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.94

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • ARO Muscelul Câmpulung away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates ARO Muscelul Câmpulung to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 21% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.10 goals for Kids Tâmpa Braşov and 1.94 for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Kids Tâmpa Braşov win21%
Draw22%
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win57%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–36.4%

Recent form

Kids Tâmpa Braşov

    ARO Muscelul Câmpulung

    • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Corona Braşov · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Valenii de Munte · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpic Zărneşti · 5-3 (W)
    • 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga III - Serie 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Corona Braşov108202926
    2ACS Mediaş 2022107211123
    3Baicoi106401722
    4Olimpic Zărneşti10613-519
    5Inter Sibiu106041118
    6Sepsi II10505-115
    7Săcele10505-115
    8ARO Muscelul Câmpulung10343313
    9Valenii de Munte10415-113
    10Tricolorul Breaza10118-184
    11Kids Tâmpa Braşov10109-153
    12Carpati Covasna10019-301

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win, at 56.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

    A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.