Romania · Liga III - Serie 2 · Group 2 - 514:00

0 – 1

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

· Analysis updated 08:16 UTC

Kids Tâmpa Braşov vs Olimpic Zărneşti Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Kids Tâmpa Braşov and 2.33 for Olimpic Zărneşti, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Olimpic Zărneşti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Olimpic Zărneşti win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 2.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Olimpic Zărneşti away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Olimpic Zărneşti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 24% / 20% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Kids Tâmpa Braşov and 2.33 for Olimpic Zărneşti, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Kids Tâmpa Braşov win24%
Draw20%
Olimpic Zărneşti win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 1–36.9%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 0–25.9%

Recent form

Kids Tâmpa Braşov

    Olimpic Zărneşti

    • 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 0-8 (L)
    • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Valenii de Munte · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Baicoi · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi II · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Sibiu · 2-7 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga III - Serie 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Corona Braşov108202926
    2ACS Mediaş 2022107211123
    3Baicoi106401722
    4Olimpic Zărneşti10613-519
    5Inter Sibiu106041118
    6Sepsi II10505-115
    7Săcele10505-115
    8ARO Muscelul Câmpulung10343313
    9Valenii de Munte10415-113
    10Tricolorul Breaza10118-184
    11Kids Tâmpa Braşov10109-153
    12Carpati Covasna10019-301

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Olimpic Zărneşti win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

    A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.