Sweden · Elitettan · Regular Season - 1611:00

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Umeå WWWDLL

Behrn Arena · Analysis updated 23:43 UTC

KIF Örebro W vs Umeå W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for KIF Örebro W and 1.31 for Umeå W, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives KIF Örebro W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

KIF Örebro W to Win

53.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.31

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

KIF Örebro W win53%
Draw22%
Umeå W win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 3–16.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates KIF Örebro W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.98 goals for KIF Örebro W and 1.31 for Umeå W, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

  • Model confidence

    KIF Örebro W to Win is the headline pick at 53% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

KIF Örebro W

    Umeå W

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Elitettan table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Elfsborg W1410402634
      2Linköping W1410311533
      3Göteborg W149412331
      4KIF Örebro W1410131131
      5Umeå W14635421
      6Trelleborg W13634221
      7Enskede W14536-218
      8Örebro SK W14536-318
      9Jitex W14536-418
      10Husqvarna W14446-516
      11Alingsås W14257-1011
      12Gamla Upsala W13247-910
      13Sandviken W141310-286
      14Häcken II W140113-201

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.