Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium · Analysis updated 00:14 UTC
Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.68 expected goals for Kifisia and 0.83 for Olympiakos Piraeus, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Olympiakos Piraeus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 37%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.9% probability
Expected goals
0.68 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kifisia home form
2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Olympiakos Piraeus away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 27% / 37% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.68 goals for Kifisia and 0.83 for Olympiakos Piraeus, a combined 1.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
63%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–022.3%
- 0–118.4%
- 1–015.1%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–27.6%
Recent form
Kifisia
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Atromitos · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Panathinaikos · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Levadiakos · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-10T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Panathinaikos · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · A vs OFI · 0-2 (L)
Olympiakos Piraeus
- 2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Panetolikos · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Marseille · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Panathinaikos · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Levadiakos · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 17 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 | Kifisia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Kalamata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | OFI | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 19%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.