Kika vs KF Lepenci Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Kika and 1.18 for KF Lepenci, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Kika the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Kika or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kika win44%

Draw26%

KF Lepenci win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Kika home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kika to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Kika and 1.18 for KF Lepenci, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Kika

2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vjosa · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tefik Canga · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Liria Prizren · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rilindja 1974 · 0-2 (L)
2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Ferizaj · 0-1 (L)

KF Lepenci

2026-07-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Shkëndija Haraçinë · 0-1 (L)
2025-12-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina e Re · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga E Pare table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Suhareka	1	1	0	5	3
2	Vëllaznimi	1	1	0	2	3
3	Trepça Mitrovicë	0	0	0	0	0
4	FC Besa Peja	0	0	0	0	0
5	Trepça'89	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ferizaj	0	0	0	0	0
7	Liria Prizren	0	0	0	0	0
8	2 Korriku	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ramiz Sadiku	0	0	0	0	0
10	Kika	0	0	0	0	0
11	KF Lepenci	0	0	0	0	0
12	Vjosa	0	0	0	0	0
13	Rilindja 1974	0	0	0	0	0
14	Prishtina e Re	0	0	0	0	0
15	Dinamo Ferizaj	0	0	0	0	0
16	Mitrovica	0	0	0	0	0
17	Tefik Canga	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Istogu	1	0	1	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.