Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Stadium · Analysis updated 06:20 UTC
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey vs Svay Rieng Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for Kirivong Sok Sen Chey and 2.84 for Svay Rieng, a combined total of 3.96. That distribution gives Svay Rieng the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Svay Rieng win
72.7% probability
Expected goals
1.12 – 2.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Svay Rieng away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
27%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–38.1%
- 0–27.7%
- 0–37.2%
- 1–16.1%
Recent form
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
- 2026-10-25T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Life Sihanoukville · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Visakha · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Angkor Tiger · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dangkor Senchey · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Svay Rieng · 0-3 (L)
Svay Rieng
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Visakha · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Boeung Ket · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Shanghai Shenhua · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Johor Darul Takzim FC · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dangkor Senchey · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-06T08:45:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 0-3 Svay Rieng (C-League)
- 2026-03-18T11:00:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 1-4 Svay Rieng (Hun Sen Cup)
- 2026-02-25T08:30:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 2-1 Svay Rieng (Hun Sen Cup)
- 2026-02-22T08:45:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 0-5 Svay Rieng (C-League)
- 2025-11-09T11:00:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 1-2 Svay Rieng (C-League)
- 2025-04-02T11:00:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 2-3 Svay Rieng (Hun Sen Cup)
- 2025-02-26T08:30:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 0-2 Svay Rieng (Hun Sen Cup)
- 2024-11-30T08:30:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 0-6 Svay Rieng (C-League)
- 2024-08-26T11:00:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 1-6 Svay Rieng (C-League)
- 2024-04-06T11:00:00.000Z · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 1-4 Svay Rieng (C-League)
C-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | NagaWorld | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | Angkor Tiger | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Phnom Penh Crown | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Dangkor Senchey | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Kompong Dewa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Life Sihanoukville | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 10 | Boeung Ket | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | National Defense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Svay Rieng win, at 72.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.